Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-22 4.241058 4.558060 4.898139 5.291997 5.737982 6.230197 6.818532
2025-06-29 3.648701 4.072895 4.556800 5.156724 5.890721 6.773598 7.938624
2025-07-06 3.294242 3.767538 4.329552 5.059319 6.002690 7.212889 8.940689
2025-07-13 3.066973 3.574217 4.195834 5.033813 6.168154 7.707381 10.069702
2025-07-20 2.937129 3.481303 4.167596 5.125691 6.481399 8.427074 11.648573
2025-07-27 2.840180 3.417443 4.164507 5.241554 6.830901 9.240994 13.557144
2025-08-03 2.720138 3.311840 4.093389 5.249805 7.016574 9.824943 15.221885
2025-08-10 2.586240 3.177471 3.970834 5.168944 7.051127 10.161509 16.513265
2025-08-17 2.448645 3.029343 3.818103 5.028357 6.972015 10.286702 17.410188
2025-08-24 2.344764 2.921407 3.714485 4.951592 6.985012 10.572057 18.731506
2025-08-31 2.288630 2.876174 3.696706 5.003128 7.214392 11.289936 21.301729
2025-09-07 2.237124 2.834173 3.680048 5.053339 7.444847 12.049558 24.312585
2025-09-14 2.121953 2.699217 3.523043 4.873968 7.261541 11.966594 25.068937
2025-09-21 2.031697 2.596990 3.410812 4.761527 7.192163 12.121989 26.659274
2025-09-28 1.955503 2.511644 3.319274 4.676009 7.162506 12.357832 28.649068
2025-10-05 1.900473 2.454722 3.267849 4.653503 7.249277 12.874107 31.957876
2025-10-12 1.873763 2.438107 3.277225 4.734668 7.547125 13.958321 38.404606
2025-10-19 1.853270 2.429523 3.298160 4.836875 7.900483 15.280985 47.597934
2025-10-26 1.813540 2.390038 3.267547 4.844146 8.055839 16.122606 55.681607
2025-11-02 1.759958 2.327390 3.196592 4.772842 8.032993 16.456726 61.295888
2025-11-09 1.698639 2.250906 3.100095 4.648683 7.881266 16.380581 64.070110
2025-11-16 1.651830 2.195371 3.035749 4.580788 7.849824 16.670523 70.383733
2025-11-23 1.629707 2.177244 3.032029 4.626377 8.082483 17.862186 87.932606